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☆ Earnings will continue to be the market driver in 2024, says Ned Davis Research's Ed Clissold
  + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings will continue to be the market driver in 2024, says Ned Davis Research's Ed ClissoldEd Clissold, Ned Davis Research chief U.S. strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the moves in today's trading day.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold Ed Clissold Organizations: Ned Davis Research
☆ 'Nearing exhaustion': Top strategists warn that weaker consumer spending could cause US stocks to run out of steam — but 22 investments can thrive during a market reversal
  + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +10 min
Eight economists, investment chiefs, and strategists that Business Insider recently spoke to credited healthier-than-anticipated consumer balance sheets and spending for the continued expansion. "Either that, or they're going to be maxed out — they can't get any more money. They're not going to have any liquidity to be able to continue to do the things they're going to do." He's also sticking with defensive stocks as consumer spending softens, including those in the consumer staples sector like Clorox (CLX) and Procter & Gamble (PG). Real estate is a "hated asset class" that's negatively correlated with interest rates, Sekera said.
Persons: shouldn't, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they're, Sue Crotty, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clark Bellin, Bellin, David Rosenberg, They're, Rob Swanke, Swanke, Preston Caldwell, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Christopher Barto, Gordon, Clissold, He's, Morningstar's Sekera, Crotty, Segal Marco Advisors, She's, Barto, that's Organizations: Business, Consumers, Segal Marco, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Commonwealth Financial Network, Nasdaq, Morningstar, Fort Pitt Capital Group, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Exxon, APA Corp, Duke Energy, Segal, Energy, Healthcare Locations: Devon, Real, NiSource
☆ A Biden-Trump standoff won't present too much uncertainty for the markets, says Ed Clissold
  + stars: | 2024-03-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA Biden-Trump standoff won't present too much uncertainty for the markets, says Ed ClissoldEd Clissold, Chief U.S. Strategist at Ned Davis Research, discusses Super Tuesday's impact on the markets.
Persons: Ed Clissold Ed Clissold, Ned Davis Organizations: Trump, Chief, Ned, Ned Davis Research
☆ The stock market debate is trapped in the '90s with both bulls and bears drawing comparisons
  + stars: | 2024-02-10 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +10 min
Value-investing asset manager GMO last week published a study showing that the top ten S & P 500 stocks by size have handily beaten an equal-weighted pool of the other 490 for several years now. Neither is Microsoft, a useful indicator give that it was the largest stock by market cap both in December 1999 and today. Indeed, today the stock market has done well even as expectations for the speed and depth of rate cuts this year have diminished. (Industrials are leading, the equal-weight S & P is up 19% from October and there were 204 new 52-week highs on the NYSE Friday over 24 new lows.) The S & P 500 uptrend has for weeks targeted the 5050 area, as an immediate culmination point, and it's just about there.
Persons: Morgan, Marko Kolanovic, —, Janus, Stocks, it's, Alan Greenspan, Greenspan, Jerome Powell, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Jurrien, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Nvidia, Cisco, Nasdaq, Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Fed, Netscape, Boston, NYSE Locations: Russia, It's, Orange County, Calif
☆ A pullback will be healthy for the market, says Ned Davis Research's Ed Clissold
  + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA pullback will be healthy for the market, says Ned Davis Research's Ed ClissoldEd Clissold, Ned Davis Research chief U.S. strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the economy and his Fed expectations.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold Ed Clissold Organizations: Ned Davis Research
☆ A look at how stocks perform before and after the Fed's first rate cut — and how it may be different this time
  + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
How markets perform after the first Fed rate cut may be more complicated this time than investors expect. The S & P 500 rose just 3.5% in 2007 before collapsing 38% in 2008. A year after the Fed cut rates in 2019, the Covid-19 pandemic weighed on markets. How stocks perform will be especially important as Wall Street assesses when the central bank will cut rates. Markets are currently pricing in a 46% likelihood the Fed will cut rates by a quarter percentage point at its March meeting.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Sam Stovall, Bear Stearns, Lehman, Stovall Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow Jones, Ned Davis Research, Dow, Ned, CFRA Research, Storm, Lehman Brothers Locations: U.S, Iraq, Kuwait
☆ Stocks end 2023 with a 4th-quarter rally and many soft landing converts. Breaking down the '24 outlook
  + stars: | 2023-12-30 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +9 min
.SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD As for the "too far, too fast" argument, it's worth recalling that all the S & P 500 has done is nearly complete an almost-symmetrical two-year round trip. Ned Davis Research U.S. strategist Ed Clissold looked back at prior times the S & P 500 has gone more than a year without making a record high. This is always a tricky proposition – cash that leaves money markets to buy stocks leaves the seller of the stocks with cash. For one thing, $6 trillion is only about 12% of total U.S. equity market cap, near the lower end of its historical range. At the 2009 market low money markets were 50% of equity market cap.
Persons: —, we've, Jason Goepfert, Jeff deGraaf, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Jerome Powell, it's, Cash Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Timely, National Association of Active Investment, Ned Davis Research, Investment, of
☆ Wall St Week Ahead After breathtaking surge, US stocks' path may rest on economic soft landing
  + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 16, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 17 (Reuters) - Are U.S. stocks poised to continue their dramatic run, or is a pause ahead? The index is now up nearly 18% for the year and less than 2% away from its year-high, reached in July. Analysts at Ned Davis Research, which has been recommending an overweight to stocks, this week said investors should further shift into equities and away from bonds. One source of worry has been a renewed climb in stocks' valuations.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, ”, Yung, Yu Ma, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, ” Robert Pavlik, Pavlik, Seasonality, LSEG Datastream, Jason Pride, Keith Lerner, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, BMO Wealth Management, National Association of Active Investment, Reuters Graphics, Treasury, Ned, Ned Davis Research, “, CPI, Dakota Wealth, Nvidia, Advisory Services, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
☆ Wall St Week Ahead - After breathtaking surge, U.S. stocks' path may rest on economic soft landing
  + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 16, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 17 (Reuters) - Are U.S. stocks poised to continue their dramatic run, or is a pause ahead? The index is now up 17% for the year and about 6% from its record closing high from January 2022. Analysts at Ned Davis Research, which has been recommending an overweight to stocks, this week said investors should further shift into equities and away from bonds. One source of worry has been a renewed climb in stocks' valuations.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, ”, Yung, Yu Ma, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, ” Robert Pavlik, Pavlik, Seasonality, LSEG Datastream, Jason Pride, Keith Lerner, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, BMO Wealth Management, National Association of Active Investment, Reuters Graphics, Treasury, Ned, Ned Davis Research, “, CPI, Dakota Wealth, Nvidia, Advisory Services, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
☆ This year has been a ‘nightmare’ for investors with most stocks, assets underperforming, according to Ned Davis Research
  + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
The S & P 500 may have advanced in 2023, but it has been a nightmare for stock pickers, said Ned Davis Research. The S & P 500 is higher by 15% this year, buoyed by gains in megacap tech stocks and, more recently, by falling Treasury yields. In fact, the median return of -1.1% in the S & P 500 has only been lower seven times since 1972. Over the past three months, only 32.5% of stocks beat the S & P 500, the note said. "But in terms of sizeable options for most asset allocators, 2023 has been historically tough," Clissold wrote.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Clissold Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Ned Locations: U.S
☆ Wall Street braces for big tech earnings and key economic data in the week ahead as Treasury yields rise
  + stars: | 2023-10-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
Major earnings reports and economic data will be in focus next week as investors seek clarity on how the Federal Reserve will proceed from here. But next week will bring the lion's share of results including reports from mega-cap darlings Alphabet, Amazon , Meta Platforms and Microsoft . While the S & P 500 is higher by 10% in 2023, the equal-weighted index is down slightly. Of note, Tesla shares sank more than 9% on Thursday following a pessimistic economic outlook from CEO Elon Musk during the company's earnings call. Its the S & P 500's first weekly loss in three weeks.
Persons: bode, Elon Musk, We're, Sam Stovall, it's, Raphael Bostic, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, Katie Stockton, Rob Ginsberg, I'm, CFRA's Stovall, Stovall, Sherwin, Williams, Kimberly, Hess, Raymond James Financial, Keurig Dr Pepper, Northrop, Willis Towers Watson, Stanley Black, Rowe Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Investors, CFRA, Dow Jones, Treasury, Fed, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Wolfe Research, Chicago, P, PMI, P Global PMI Manufacturing, P Global PMI Services, Richmond Fed, Visa, Texas Instruments, General Electric, NextEra Energy, Raytheon Technologies, Dow, Inc, General Motors, Halliburton, Coca, Corning, Hilton Worldwide, General Dynamics, Dominion Freight, Mobile US, Boeing, Raymond, Technology, Whirlpool, International Business Machines, O'Reilly, Honeywell, Northrop Grumman, Mastercard, Amazon, Royal Caribbean Group, Tractor Supply, United Parcel Service, Hasbro, Southwest Airlines, Comcast, Hershey, Intel, L3Harris Technologies, Ford Motor, Energy, Chevron, Decker, Exxon Mobil, Colgate, Palmolive Locations: U.S, Atlanta, AbbVie
☆ Analysis: US stock market technicals suggest possible rebound as earnings, CPI loom
  + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The S&P 500 has slid about 5% since reaching its late-July high, but so far this month the benchmark index has rebounded. In 12 of those times the S&P 500 was higher six months later, Turnquist said. Reuters GraphicsStocks have tended to perform well at year end -- with November and December logging the second and third-biggest average S&P 500 monthly gains -- though this year the trends may portend even more favorably. That was followed by a 28% rally in the S&P 500 through late July of this year. Further, notes Delwiche, stock market breadth has been weak.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, Willie Delwiche, Delwiche, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Thursday’s U.S, Ned, Ned Davis Research, LPL, Reuters Graphics, American, of, Mount Research, NYSE, Nasdaq, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
☆ Market seasonality is playing out almost perfectly as Wall Street feels discomfort
  + stars: | 2023-09-23 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +8 min
In fact, the S & P 500's now-6% decline from its cycle peak began almost too perfectly, exactly as the often-tough month of August got underway, continuing into September, the worst month for stock performance through history. Similar reassuring stats are spit out when accounting for years when the S & P 500 was up more than 10% through July, or for pre-election years. The S & P 500 was oversold by some short-term measures, such as fewer than 15% of S & P 500 stocks sitting above their 10-day average price. That makes sense for sure, though it has meant that the equal-weighted S & P 500 is up only 1% this year and has tentatively broken a multiyear uptrend, while small-cap stocks are suffering worse still. And even for the market-cap-weighted S & P 500, the forward P/E is down from nearly 20 to 18 since late July, as prices have fallen, and analysts' forecasts have continued to plod higher.
Persons: doesn't, Ryan Detrick, there's, Goldman Sachs, abetted, Jerome Powell, It's, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold Organizations: Carson, Treasury, Fed, Ned, Ned Davis Research Locations: Friday's, U.S
☆ Fed-induced recession could come to fruition in 2024: Ned Davis Research's Ed Clissold
  + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFed-induced recession could come to fruition in 2024: Ned Davis Research's Ed ClissoldEd Clissold, Ned Davis Research chief U.S. strategist, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss recession risk in the stock market following the Fed decision this week, how Clissold is mananging the current environment, and more.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold Ed Clissold Organizations: Ned Davis Research
☆ Wall St Week Ahead: Investor hopes for US soft landing ride on inflation data
  + stars: | 2023-09-10 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Too high a number could fan fears of the Fed leaving interest rates higher for longer or hiking them more in coming months. That would give investors less reason to hold onto stocks after a tech-led drop in which the S&P 500 lost about 5% from summer highs. Reasons for optimism include the relative outperformance of the U.S. economy compared to Europe and China, and signs the so-called profit recession among S&P 500 companies may be over. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector lost more than 2% this week following news that Beijing had ordered central government employees to stop using iPhones for work. Still, much of the bull case for stocks hinges on softer inflation eventually pushing the Fed to lower interest rates.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Michael Purves, Randy Frederick, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Jonathan Golub, David Lefkowitz, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Tallbacken Capital Advisors, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Technology, Apple, Huawei, Chief, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Credit Suisse Securities, UBS Global Wealth Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Europe, China, Beijing
☆ Wall St Week Ahead Investor hopes for US soft landing ride on inflation data
  + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Too high a number could fan fears of the Fed leaving interest rates higher for longer or hiking them more in coming months. That would give investors less reason to hold onto stocks after a tech-led drop in which the S&P 500 lost about 5% from summer highs. Reasons for optimism include the relative outperformance of the U.S. economy compared to Europe and China, and signs the so-called profit recession among S&P 500 companies may be over. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector lost more than 2% this week following news that Beijing had ordered central government employees to stop using iPhones for work. Still, much of the bull case for stocks hinges on softer inflation eventually pushing the Fed to lower interest rates.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Michael Purves, Randy Frederick, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Jonathan Golub, David Lefkowitz, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Tallbacken Capital Advisors, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Technology, Apple, Huawei, Chief, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Credit Suisse Securities, UBS Global Wealth Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Europe, China, Beijing
☆ Here's why trillions of dollars in money market funds may not restart the stock market rally
  + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +6 min
The 2023 stock market rally caught many investors off guard, with mountains of excess cash sitting in money market funds. "Money market balances are building up, which is unusual given how much the stock market has rallied recently. And history suggests that money market funds are not always fuel for a buy-the-dip trend to support a late-stage rally. Through that lens, the growth of money market funds in 2023 can also be linked to the regional bank crisis earlier this year. Clissold said discussions with wealth advisory clients suggest that "some of that money market fund money does leak into the stock market," albeit over time.
Persons: Emmanuel Cau, Callie Cox, Cox, Todd Sohn, Sohn, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Clissold, John Tobin, Dreyfus, I'm, corporates, Tobin Organizations: Bank of America, EPFR, Investment Company Institute, Nasdaq, Barclays, Money, Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, BNY Mellon Investment Management, CIO Locations: U.S
☆ Nvidia really needs its earnings to come through to justify its rallies, says Ned Davis' Ed Clissold
  + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNvidia really needs its earnings to come through to justify its rallies, says Ned Davis' Ed ClissoldEd Clissold, Ned Davis Research chief U.S. strategist and Kathryn Kaminski, AlphaSimplex chief market strategist, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold Ed Clissold, Kathryn Kaminski Organizations: Nvidia, Ned Davis Research
☆ Most economic data suggests chance of an imminent recession ‘pretty low': Ned Davis’ Ed Clissold
  + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMost economic data suggests chance of an imminent recession ‘pretty low': Ned Davis’ Ed ClissoldEd Clissold, chief U.S. strategist at Ned Davis Research, joins ‘Closing Bell’ to discuss why he thinks the bull run on the market is not over yet, whether we are heading into a recession and more.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold Ed Clissold, Bell Organizations: Ned, Ned Davis Research Locations: U.S
☆ Dividend payers underperformed in the first half. Here’s why they could make a comeback
  + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Dividend payers are on track for their worst half against stocks that don't pay dividends since 2009, Ed Clissold, the firm's chief U.S. strategist, wrote in a June 22 report. "Our index of S & P 500 Dividend Payers underperformed Non-Payers by 13.7% year to date," he said. Meanwhile, the ProShares S & P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) is up 3% in 2023. SPYD .SPX YTD line SPDR Portfolio S & P 500 High Dividend ETF versus the S & P 500 in 2023 One of the reasons behind dividend stocks' underperformance is the fact that they have low betas. For starters, dividend payers tend to outperform during the second year of the Federal Reserve's tightening cycles, NDR found.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Clissold, Jerome Powell, Michael Bloom Organizations: Ned Davis Research, underperformed, Nasdaq
☆ Stock market heads into the second half with near 15% total return so far in 2023
  + stars: | 2023-06-24 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +8 min
The S & P 500 had just sustained its worst calendar-year loss in half a generation. Textbook consolidation Last week's modest 1.4% decline in the S & P 500 did little to alter either the favorable underlying market trend or the notion that more consolidation might be in store. The median year-end S & P 500 target among Street strategists is 4250, 100 points below Friday's close, and the most-bullish forecast is for about a 5% further gain. And just as the market's performance has been skewed toward these hit hyper-cap tech stocks, so is the S & P 500's valuation. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 1-year Big picture: The market this year has chewed through plenty of perfectly valid excuses to falter without doing so.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Jeremy Schwartz, Lori Calvasina, we'll Organizations: Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Intelligence, Ned Davis Research, New, Nvidia, General Motors, Whirlpool, RBC Capital Locations: DC
☆ Halfway through 2023 Wall Street still can't agree on the earnings outlook
  + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
A strange year: Halfway through, there is a wide difference of opinion on earnings Strategists analyze the macroeconomy to come up with an estimate for corporate earnings. They analyze individual company performance to come up with earnings estimates, which are then aggregated into an overall estimate by agencies like FactSet or Refinitiv. The S & P 500 reported $218 in earnings in 2022, according to Refinitiv. This highlights the difference between analysts and strategists: Analysts have models for earnings of individual companies, not the macroeconomy as strategists do. However, in this case, their reticence to slash earnings estimates in expectation of an imminent recession or a banking crisis has proved to be correct.
Persons: Morgan, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Mike Wilson's, John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer, David Kostin, Brian Belski, Jonathan Golub, Lori Calvasina, Savita Subramanian, Chris Harvey, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Hatzius Organizations: Here's, BMO, Credit, RBC, Wells, Bloomberg, Bank Locations: U.S
☆ Column: Top-heavy and ultra-narrow - Wall St needs to bulk out
  + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( Jamie Mcgeever | Thomson Reuters | Jamie Mcgeever Has Been A Financial Journalist Since | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Right now though, the market has never been more top-heavy and the share of market constituents outperforming the broader index has never been lower. According to Ed Clissold at Ned Davis Research, the percentage of stocks outperforming the S&P 500 this year is just 24.5%. The percentage of S&P 500 stocks outperforming the index on a rolling three-month basis is just 20.3%, a record low. Clissold says that the S&P 500's one-year gain after periods of relative strength by a small group of large caps is an average 1.8%. These five stocks account for over a quarter of the S&P 500's $36.78 trillion market cap, and the top 10 account for a third of the total.
Persons: bode, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Meb Faber, Chuck Prince's, Cambria's Faber, Jamie McGeever, Andrea Ricci Organizations: NYSE, Barclays, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Ned Davis Research, Reuters, Google, Cambria Investment Management, Citigroup, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida
☆ 'Bears might have it completely wrong' on recession outlook, says Renaissance's Jeff DeGraaf
  + stars: | 2023-04-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Bears might have it completely wrong' on recession outlook, says Renaissance's Jeff DeGraafJeff DeGraaf, Renaissance Macro Research, and Ed Clissold, Ned Davis Research, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the domestic and global markets, recession fears, and a potential bull market.
☆ For battered U.S. bank shares, earnings may make or break
  + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Even so, the S&P 500 bank index (.SPXBK) is down 16% since March 8, two days before Silicon Valley's collapse, with the failure of Signature Bank and problems at other banks adding to the turmoil. Some say quarterly results could be key to what happens next with bank shares. Among other financials, Jefferies Financial Group (JEF.N) is expected to report quarterly results after the closing bell Tuesday. Analysts expect S&P 500 earnings to fall 4.6% in the first quarter of 2023 from the year-ago period. They are forecasting S&P 500 financials (.SPSY) to post year-over-year earnings growth in the first quarter of 5.4%, making it among just four sectors whose earnings are expected to climb.
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